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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : Lantique le 03 May 2008, 07:54 |
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Le réchauffement climatique pourrait entrainer la migration d’un milliard de réfugiés 2 mai 2008 Selon M. Craig Johnstone, le Haut-Commissaire adjoint du HCR, l’agence des Nations Unies pour les réfugiés, le réchauffement climatique pourrait provoquer la migration de 250 millions à un milliard de personnes d’ici à 2050. Il s’agit là d’une « urgence à l’échelle mondiale » à laquelle nous devons nous préparer met-il en garde. .../... Des centaines de millions de personnes pourraient être contraintes d’abandonner leur terre en raison de pénuries d’eau et de mauvaises récoltes dans la majeure partie de l’Afrique, ainsi que dans le centre et le sud de l’Asie et l’Amérique du Sud. Le réchauffement pourrait aussi accroître le nombre de personnes souffrant de famine et peser sur les prix des produits alimentaires alors même que l’agriculture peine à faire face à une demande croissante en raison d’une aridité de plus en plus prononcée.../...
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : philippulus le 03 May 2008, 23:19 |
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A Black Swan in FoodDonald Coxe, chief strategist of Harris Investment Management and one of my favorite analysts, spoke at my recent Strategic Investment Conference. He shared a statistic that has given me pause for concern as I watch food prices shoot up all over the world. North America has experienced great weather for the last 18 consecutive years, which, combined with other improvements in agriculture, has resulted in abundant crops. According to Don, you have to go back 800 years to find a period of such favorable weather for so long a time. Yet food stocks in corn, wheat, rice, etc. are dangerously low. We are just one bad weather season from a potential worldwide food disaster. And Dennis Gartman has been pointing out almost daily how far behind US farmers are in getting their corn crops planted, due to bad weather: “… the corn crop really is behind schedule. Corn is not like wheat. Wheat can survive drought; it can survive cold; wheat, as we were taught by our mentor, Mr. Melvin Ford, many years ago, is a weed. It is an amazing, resilient plant. But corn is temperamental; it needs rain when it needs rain; it needs dry conditions when it needs dry conditions. It needs to not be hit by early season frost, or it will suffer, and it needs a rather archly set number of days to grow. Each day lost at the front end of the planting/growing season puts pressure upon the corn plant to finish its job before the autumn frosts, and puts increased soybean acreage and decreased corn acreage before us. “The maps of the Midwest this morning have it raining once again, with more rain likely over the weekend. There will be some field work done in some areas, of course, but the several straight days of corn planting that everyone had hoped for simply are not going to take place. The ethanol mandates may be in jeopardy in the long run, but in the short run, this year's corn crop is swiftly becoming problematic ... and short.” I had a note from a reader relating the experience of a member of his family. The gentleman runs a rather large feed lot in West Texas. He is running half the cattle he normally does, as he is losing money on every head he sells. Ranchers are reducing their herds, as they cannot afford to feed them due to high grain prices. The same thing is happening with chickens. Producers are losing money on every chicken they sell, and they have to reduce inventories; thus meat of all types has not risen as much as the cost of producing it. This means sometime this fall supplies of meat of all types are going to be reduced, but demand will not. And that means that meat prices have the potential to rise substantially during an election season. Maybe someone will point out that using corn to produce ethanol has the unwanted and unintended consequence of driving up food prices all over the world. It is not the sole source, but it is significant. And when we finally experience a year of bad weather (whether too much rain or too little, too cold or too hot, it will be blamed on global warming), food supplies and prices are going to skyrocket. And a developing world will not look kindly on the US and Europe's use of food for fuel when so many are starving. Don says that this is not a matter of if, but when. |
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : philippulus le 03 May 2008, 23:33 |
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Comme le dit Bruno Parmentier, professeur à l'Ecole Supérieure d'Agriculture d'Angers et auteur du livre Nourrir l'humanité :
D'autres chiffres font froid dans le dos :
Un chiffre résume bien la situation : en l'état actuel des choses, pour nourrir tout le monde, il faudrait que la production agricole double tous les 10 ans !
Partout dans le monde, les fermiers, les paysans et les agriculteurs se sont donc lancés donc une véritable course au rendement pour parvenir à nourrir l'humanité. |
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : yuri le 17 May 2008, 17:39 |
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business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/article3943779.ece Rice prices nosedived today as Japan moved closer to unlocking its massive hidden surplus and bullish supply forecasts routed speculators.
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : vincenzo le 18 May 2008, 22:44 |
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L'empire de la honte selon Jean Ziegler : www.dailymotion.com/video/xazb_lempire-de-la-honte-jean-ziegler
L'avis de Jean Ziegler à propos des bios carburants : www.dailymotion.com/video/x45188_jean-ziegler-denonce-les-agrocarbur_politics
une interview de 2007 de Jean Zielger : www.dailymotion.com/video/x5go7e_jean-ziegler-sur-le-marche-de-la-fa_tech
We feed the world (extrait) : www.dailymotion.com/video/x4ivw5_we-feed-the-world-les-poulets_politics Trois sociétés dans le monde produisent l’essentiel du poulet que nous mangeons rôti, ce sont des poulets hybrides élevés en 8 semaines en engraissant au maximum et tout cela pour dégager une marge de maximum 20 centimes d’euros par tête.. Ils sont tués dans des usines-abattoirs qui peuvent débiter jusqu’à 50 000 poulets par jour. Ces poulets sont nourris en partie avec le soja brésilien, pays qui connait encore une très forte malnutrition notamment dans le nord. |
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : Yoyotte le 19 May 2008, 01:16 |
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Citation : vincenzo
L'empire de la honte selon Jean Ziegler : www.dailymotion.com/video/xazb_lempire-de-la-honte-jean-ziegler
L'avis de Jean Ziegler à propos des bios carburants : www.dailymotion.com/video/x45188_jean-ziegler-denonce-les-agrocarbur_politics
une interview de 2007 de Jean Zielger : www.dailymotion.com/video/x5go7e_jean-ziegler-sur-le-marche-de-la-fa_tech
We feed the world (extrait) : www.dailymotion.com/video/x4ivw5_we-feed-the-world-les-poulets_politics Trois sociétés dans le monde produisent l’essentiel du poulet que nous mangeons rôti, ce sont des poulets hybrides élevés en 8 semaines en engraissant au maximum et tout cela pour dégager une marge de maximum 20 centimes d’euros par tête.. Ils sont tués dans des usines-abattoirs qui peuvent débiter jusqu’à 50 000 poulets par jour. Ces poulets sont nourris en partie avec le soja brésilien, pays qui connait encore une très forte malnutrition notamment dans le nord.
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : philippulus le 19 May 2008, 08:25 |
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Les silos japonais sont l'une des solutions aux problèmes de pénurie en riz
La suppression de cette règle devrait permettre d'éliminer une cause majeure des distorsions de marché, en permettant le retour sur le marché de 1,5 millions de tonnes de riz stocké sous contrainte règlementaire dans les silos japonais. Toutefois, le Japon a besoin de la permission des Etat-Unis pour y procéder, mais Washington n'avait pas souhaité jusqu'ici accorder cette autorisation en raison de craintes des réactions de la part des producteurs de riz américian. |
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| Re : La faim dans le monde, la fin d'un monde.... | Posté par : 511kev le 24 Jul 2008, 11:00 |
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Famine dans le monde en raison de la surpopulation ...? Rassurez vous Gaia se prépare à "régler" le problème ....
Tous les pays civilisés s'y préparent aussi .... sans publicité. C'est peut être le petit "détail" d' AF qui manque pour expliquer les extrapolations MT, LT extrèmement "bear" sur les courbes AT des marchés financiers ....
L'adresse ci-dessous permet de suivre "en live" cette menace mondiale : http://www.avianinfluenza.org/
L'exemple de la Grande Bretagne : Around 37,000 at risk of death if pandemic flu strikesJul 24 2008 by David Williamson, Western Mail
HALF the population of Wales could fall ill and 37,000 people may die if the nation is hit by a pandemic flu outbreak, according to Assembly Government estimates.
Experts are preparing for a surge in admissions to hospitals and clinics, pressures on mortuaries and demand for dignified funerals. Arrangements are in place to obtain vaccines for the entire population once a pandemic breaks out and the strain is identified.
Chief Medical Officer for Wales Dr Tony Jewell said: “As is the case with influenza, the majority of care in a pandemic will be provided in people’s own homes with the support of primary and social care services. This strategy will help to ensure that hospitals have the capacity to deal with those patients that develop complications that require hospital treatment and are also able to cope with the routine emergency admissions that occur every day.”
He added: “A key part of managing a pandemic will be public support to help reduce the spread of infection. As we move into a pandemic, public health messages will reinforce the importance of people adopting good routine hygiene practices such as regular hand washing and also for the public to stay at home at the first sign of symptoms.
“The public will also be advised as to how they can access treatment if it is needed. In the meantime, work is continuing across organisations on business continuity plans and partnership working so that key public services can be maintained through a pandemic or other emergency situation. “With the increase in numbers of people becoming ill during a pandemic there is likely to be an increase in the number of people who will die. The Home Office is leading work across England and Wales on developing arrangements to manage the potential increase in the number of deaths.
“This includes increasing business continuity of death certification and registration, funeral services and burials and cremations, and increasing mortuary capacity. Every effort will be made to ensure dignity for the deceased is maintained and respected.”
The medical and scientific community is braced for any future strain of the bird flu virus which could be passed among humans. There are fears that even if this does not emerge, another flu pandemic will hit Wales. The Assembly Government described its plans in response to a Freedom of Information request from the Western Mail.
The possibility that 50% of the population – 1,485,000 people – could fall ill is described as a “reasonably foreseeable worst- case scenario”.
Previous pandemics have had a fatality rate of between 0.2% and 2%.
The statement reads: “With a clinical attack rate at the highest rate of 50% a fatality rate of 0.4% would lead to 5,900 excess deaths while one of 2.5% would lead to 37,000 excess deaths.”
There are no plans to quarantine individuals or communities.
An Assembly Government spokesman said: “[We plan] to procure more medicines to increase preparedness in Wales in the event of a pandemic flu outbreak, subject to approval from the Treasury. The plan includes increasing the antiviral stockpile to deal with a worst-case scenario, with further antivirals to cover people in the households of those that become ill. “The plan also includes procurement of pre-pandemic vaccines for at-risk groups, and antibiotics to treat cases that get secondary bacterial infections such as pneumonia.” David Bailey, chairman of BMA Cymru’s GP committee, said: “The whole of British general practice will drop stumps and deal with it... You just roll your sleeves up and get on with it.” He added: “It’s not going to be possible to treat the majority of these patients in hospital because, simply, there won’t be room.”
A focus will be on preventing cross-contamination. Telephone advice will be given where possible. The Royal College of Nursing wants its members to have as much protection before an outbreak occurs as possible as they will be on the frontline of any pandemic. Richard Jones, interim director of RCN Wales, said: “It is the case that no-one knows if or when a pandemic will hit the UK and how serious it could be. If a pandemic occurs, nurses will be at the centre of plans to implement the vaccination programme, manage the use of hospital beds. “They will also train care support workers to administer flu vaccinations and other nursing activities while advising on workforce developments during the crisis. It is therefore important that they and all healthcare workers are protected from the virus before an outbreak occurs.”
Professor Ronald Eccles, director of the Common Cold Centre at Cardiff University, said: “There is no doubt it will hit us at some time. It could be something much milder than we expect; it could be a total disaster for the world.”
The last major pandemic surfaced in Hong Kong in 1968 and spread to the United States where it caused around 33,800 deaths.
Prof Eccles said: “A lot of people did die. I can remember school colleagues who had fathers away in Asia who died from it.” The Westminster Department of Health is spearheading a drive to encourage better hygiene through its “Catch it, Bin it, Kill it” campaign. A Welsh version, “Coughs and Sneezes Spread Diseases” is targeted at schools.
Professor Lindsey Davies, National Director of Pandemic Influenza Preparedness, said in a statement of support for the English publicity drive: “Good hygiene practice (both hand and respiratory) will have a major role to play in slowing the spread of pandemic influenza and we hope that by getting staff and the public into good habits now, we will be well prepared to respond when a pandemic arrives.”
Liberal Democrat health spokeswoman Jenny Randerson said: “Half the country experiencing symptoms, and up to 37,000 deaths are sobering figures. It shows all of us must remain vigilant about this disease.” |
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